Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.888273 3.090135 3.306335 3.556381 3.839219 4.151171 4.523979
2025-12-14 2.517487 2.779943 3.076616 3.440973 3.882393 4.408090 5.094700
2025-12-21 2.342934 2.641724 2.991939 3.440491 4.011838 4.733554 5.746989
2025-12-28 2.201769 2.521617 2.906967 3.416955 4.093334 4.990992 6.334616
2026-01-04 2.051406 2.375128 2.772775 3.311584 4.047805 5.062323 6.659819
2026-01-11 1.964903 2.299996 2.719769 3.302550 4.124270 5.303716 7.270109
2026-01-18 1.918697 2.271306 2.722103 3.364228 4.300900 5.707836 8.214949
2026-01-25 2.016255 2.433105 2.985135 3.808134 5.085950 7.180740 11.464889
2026-02-01 1.896431 2.298384 2.834944 3.643345 4.917221 7.051075 11.575668
2026-02-08 1.780653 2.164093 2.678595 3.459114 4.701118 6.811751 11.398745
2026-02-15 1.718751 2.100394 2.617764 3.413491 4.704873 6.965087 12.138512
2026-02-22 1.655789 2.032438 2.547286 3.348052 4.668917 7.038805 12.713678
2026-03-01 1.574733 1.942272 2.449228 3.247495 4.588290 7.062571 13.309670
2026-03-08 1.497722 1.855461 2.353021 3.145512 4.499447 7.066242 13.897336
2026-03-15 1.456302 1.816270 2.323320 3.145281 4.587433 7.442106 15.743339
2026-03-22 1.413005 1.772170 2.283514 3.124961 4.635703 7.743368 17.570455
2026-03-29 1.354578 1.703935 2.204140 3.033894 4.542362 7.712087 18.234533
2026-04-05 1.321497 1.670893 2.176110 3.026074 4.605941 8.056277 20.621073
2026-04-12 1.305700 1.662122 2.184265 3.079425 4.794350 8.748503 25.333168
2026-04-19 1.364026 1.764944 2.371247 3.460795 5.718171 11.770556 53.118081
2026-04-26 1.305703 1.690252 2.272325 3.319747 5.494881 11.354294 52.122859
2026-05-03 1.246389 1.612619 2.166388 3.161326 5.221961 10.742918 48.356453
2026-05-10 1.214859 1.576331 2.125990 3.121973 5.215096 10.993358 55.388125